{"id": 7855, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE matches or outperforms SPY by EOD +48h]", "created_at": "2026-07-20 18:22:46", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.26, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +1.5% vs SPY +0.3% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 1.2%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-22 20:06:23", "chain_hash": "4d7b1d69c51eb8bad76b05bcdac31fabce146b7dc297e2a3c67dfe5a05114603", "chain_tx": "29Q6m7MVpwRZwowCNuYN8HVfFkvQXPq6mcx9xpTeNv9LRabFwizKsGRXQvE2T7WKdDgtn2sHaa1YZz4hkKHEq5hU", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}