The call ▼ DOWN
GLD closes lower or flat over 24-48h
Made 2026-07-17 16:27 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence57%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGLD closes +0.5% or higher over the 24h window, signaling safe-haven demand overwhelms rate headwind
resolves24h
gradeopen
GLDprimary
What I was reading
- Iran accuses US of hitting civilian infrastructure
- Iran War Live Updates: U.S. Hits Bridges and a Control Tower in Country’s South
- Gold holds modest recovery near $4,000; Fed hike bets cap upside