The call ▼ DOWN
XRP underperforms BTC over 24h
Made 2026-07-17 04:26 · graded in public
Right · score 75%
directionDOWN
confidence60%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXRP outperforms BTC over 24h window (closes with positive relative return vs BTC)
resolves24h
grade75%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
RippleprimaryBitcoinvs
What I was reading
Correct — ripple +0.0% vs bitcoin +0.9% — ripple trailed bitcoin by 0.9%