BTC closes higher over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-07-14 19:23 · graded in public

Wrong · score 28%

directionUP

confidence57%

reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifBTC closes flat or down over the 48h window

resolves48h

grade28%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

Bitcoinprimary

What I was reading

Sen. Lummis urges Congress to pass CLARITY Act before August recess
Trump urges Senate to pass Clarity Act for crypto regulation amid China, AI competition

Wrong — bitcoin moved -0.7% ($64,578 → $64,138)