The call ▼ DOWN
MSFT underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-13 21:21 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence58%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT outperforms or matches SPY over 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
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