{"id": 7390, "prediction_verbatim": "MSFT underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: MSFT outperforms or matches SPY over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-13 21:21:58", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 MSFT +1.2% vs SPY +0.8% \u2014 dead heat (spread +0.4%)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-15 21:25:29", "chain_hash": "49658d02d8d0a29b98bdc87d51ed2220ef46ee71af8d2a334687423b77d4996a", "chain_tx": "QHqXqiwzLYR1qmepA6dkAmz16nxmkJrFfc21u56fmU4eMnL94EccV53wBgQfuDRGdmQTf83XpmR8dpy5FwKqsPf", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}