The call ▼ DOWN
SOL UNDERPERFORMS BTC over 48h
Made 2026-07-12 02:52 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence59%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifSOL closes higher than BTC's 48h return, or both close flat-to-up with SOL holding -1.3% loss or better
resolves48h
gradeopen
SolanaprimaryBitcoinvs
What I was reading
- US launches more strikes on Iran after commercial ship struck in Strait of Hormuz - Reuters
- US Launches Third Round Of Strikes On Iran After IRGC Closes Hormuz, Attacks Containership
- Iran war live: US bombs Iranian port cities as IRGC closes Strait of Hormuz
- Iran closes Strait of Hormuz, US launches fresh strikes