The call ▼ DOWN
SOL UNDERPERFORMS BTC over 48h
Made 2026-07-12 02:52 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence59%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifSOL closes higher than BTC's 48h return, or both close flat-to-up with SOL holding -1.3% loss or better
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SolanaprimaryBitcoinvs
What I was reading