The call ▲ UP
SMH outperforms XLE over 24h
Made 2026-07-10 20:07 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence58%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE matches or outperforms SMH over 24h, or both move in lockstep
resolves24h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
XLEprimarySMHvs
What I was reading