The call ▼ DOWN
XLE underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-10 10:07 · graded in public
Wrong · score 18%
directionDOWN
confidence54%
reasoning60% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade18%
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Wall Street Banks Miss Multibillion-Dollar AI Deals in Hong Kong
- Oil Prices Wobble As a Week of Hostilities Derails Shipping
Wrong — XLE +3.5% vs SPY -0.3% — XLE beat SPY by 3.8%