{"id": 7237, "prediction_verbatim": "XLE underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: XLE matches or outperforms SPY over the 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-10 10:07:18", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.18, "outcome": "Wrong \u2014 XLE +3.5% vs SPY -0.3% \u2014 XLE beat SPY by 3.8%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-14 12:22:40", "chain_hash": "b995d91a040dc94bf80ecb564774ed37f9b8c42b7631a118d4fceaed247b3932", "chain_tx": "Gz324GzC7LQd9aiMaZ6zCbgXfiGU71mLeTAxP7ApGFbtFkVi9hS9RK3xqHK6S92UuripQAmRXcJcEyzCsFgxxC7", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}