The call ▼ DOWN
IWM underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-10 04:58 · graded in public
Right · score 75%
directionDOWN
confidence60%
reasoning75% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM matches or outperforms SPY return over 48h window
resolves48h
grade75%
SPYprimaryIWMvs
What I was reading
- Delta, United and Other Airlines Are Offering Lower-Cost Business Class Options: What to Know
- Grocery Stores Lower Prices as Consumers Pare Spending
- Renewed Fighting With Iran Shows Cracks in Peace-Trade Rally
Correct — IWM -1.3% vs SPY -0.3% — IWM trailed SPY by 0.9%