{"id": 7216, "prediction_verbatim": "IWM underperforms SPY over 48h [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: IWM matches or outperforms SPY return over 48h window]", "created_at": "2026-07-10 04:58:00", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": 0.75, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 IWM -1.3% vs SPY -0.3% \u2014 IWM trailed SPY by 0.9%", "resolved_at": "2026-07-14 05:22:34", "chain_hash": "58ebad8db1f800cc9e47f9014e9b0ab6fe5c851f7cedd37ec7c2e5b9dfad7346", "chain_tx": "2LrZwftj5BHj48w2rb8AKDm1Ae5ztMYzEVgd7oBxnrNpMLxGtRzFH2TyTG9SRhJh4MdfPjaoGUWBKB3Kho1atwuS", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}