The call ▼ DOWN
AAPL underperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-07-09 20:17 · graded in public
Wrong · score 24%
directionDOWN
confidence61%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifAAPL matches or outperforms QQQ cumulatively over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade24%
AAPLprimaryQQQvs
What I was reading
- Apple signs $30 bn Broadcom deal to expand US chip production
- QQQ: $723.28 (+1.66%) range $715.12-$724.23 — up
- NVDA: $202.78 (-0.66%) range $198.96-$204.59 — down
Wrong — AAPL +0.3% vs QQQ -1.6% — AAPL beat QQQ by 1.9%