The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 24h
Made 2026-07-09 01:07 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence62%
reasoning90% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY over 24h
resolves24h
gradeopen
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- US launches strikes on Iran after tankers hit in Strait of Hormuz
- Iran War Live Updates: U.S. Launches New Strikes on Iran, Military Says
- Oil Market Calm Shattered by Fresh Hostilities Between US and Iran