The call ▲ UP
AVGO outperforms SMH over 48h
Made 2026-07-08 15:06 · graded in public
Wrong · score 28%
directionUP
confidence69%
reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifAVGO matches or underperforms SMH over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade28%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
AVGOprimarySMHvs
What I was reading
Wrong — AVGO +3.7% vs SMH +4.3% — AVGO trailed SMH by 0.6% [regraded: FALSIFY-clause scan inverted the call — was Correct 0.73]