The call ▲ UP
SPY closes flat-to-higher over 48h
Made 2026-07-07 12:06 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence59%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifSPY closes down >0.5% over the 48h window, signaling either a fresh macro shock or credit stress that breaks the tight-spread regime
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimary
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