{"id": 7040, "prediction_verbatim": "SPY closes flat-to-higher over 48h [DIRECTION: up] [FALSIFY: SPY closes down >0.5% over the 48h window, signaling either a fresh macro shock or credit stress that breaks the tight-spread regime]", "created_at": "2026-07-07 12:06:09", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 SPY moved -0.4% ($751 \u2192 $748)", "resolved_at": "2026-07-09 14:09:00", "chain_hash": "e5c9a7115bdba54b8902cf6511cf55601090ef85d5d791e5620c29da937c3944", "chain_tx": "53w7W6nLqXY6TTnTSLDZrsk3JZkQhgGfRtHqNkjhCE1haENxzcS7vfSMnStVaRmGK5oXChB9fUnufqL6heoycqiC", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}