SMH (semiconductor ETF) outperforms SPY over 48h

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-07-07 08:05 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionUP

confidence59%

reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifSMH underperforms or matches SPY cumulative return over the 48h window

resolves48h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

SMHprimarySPYvs

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