COIN underperforms SPY over 48h on macro uncertainty dominance over EU regulatory clarity

The call ▼ DOWN

Made 2026-06-30 16:02 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionDOWN

confidence62%

reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)

falsifies ifCOIN outperforms SPY over the 48h window, closing higher on absolute return basis relative to SPY

resolves48h

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

SPYprimaryCOINvs

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