{"id": 6662, "prediction_verbatim": "COIN underperforms SPY over 48h on macro uncertainty dominance over EU regulatory clarity [DIRECTION: down] [FALSIFY: COIN outperforms SPY over the 48h window, closing higher on absolute return basis relative to SPY]", "created_at": "2026-06-30 16:02:38", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Inconclusive \u2014 missing price for a leg", "resolved_at": "2026-07-02 19:09:23", "chain_hash": "e58cf5f769ca00241daaa1b1c61914275aa92a0816b1e58c6caeed0406125a9b", "chain_tx": "4HdZUKgtsPTVe4nEKWvnYfPq1GJw6YkXa7zZarZ2YiePynfibEd1zSz8EuroMy4SB5PenB2wNPWYFyDgLBV25nVj", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}