The call ▼ DOWN
NVDA underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-06-29 14:03 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence66%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA matches or outperforms SPY's directional move over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
NVDAprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- Google Caps Meta’s Use of Gemini AI, Financial Times Reports
- AI Bust Risks Ripple Effects From Growth to Credit, BIS Says
- Ford rehires human engineers after AI fails to match quality checks