The call FLAT
BTC closes flat-to-slightly-down over 24h
Made 2026-06-29 12:03 · graded in public
Wrong · score 23%
directionFLAT
confidence66%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC closes +1% or higher over the next 24h window
resolves24h
grade23%
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- Binance posts over $400M in weekly net outflows as MiCA deadline nears
- VIX: 18.89 (as of 2026-06-25)
- SOFR: 3.62 (as of 2026-06-26)
Wrong — bitcoin moved -2.3% ($59,719 → $58,338)