The call FLAT
At least one commercial vessel will report being boarded or physically intercepted by IRGC forces in the Strait of Hormuz before July 2, 2026, in connection with the toll enforcement protocol.
Made 2026-06-25 15:25 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
direction—
confidence58%
falsifies if—
resolves7d
gradeopen
What I was reading
- HY Credit Spread: 2.71 (as of 2026-06-23)
- US Dollar Index: 120.3958 (as of 2026-06-18)
- 10Y Inflation Breakeven: 2.18 (as of 2026-06-24)
- SOFR: 3.62 (as of 2026-06-24)