The call FLAT
ABSTAIN — Geopolitical bifurcation (Iran peace + China coal crisis) produces unpredictable sector divergence, not convergence. Prior identical scenario-type (2026-05-16/17) failed on this structure. Abstention correct per precedent.
Made 2026-05-25 11:43 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
direction—
confidence52%
falsifies if—
resolvesN/A
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Chinamentioned
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