The call ▲ UP
US 10-year Treasury yield will remain above 4.40% over next 48 hours as bond market reprices risk-off on geopolitical fragility (Taiwan warning, Iran impatience) offsetting ceasefire optimism
Made 2026-05-16 02:10 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence80%
falsifies if—
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
U.S. TreasurymentionedIranmentioned
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →