{"id": 5148, "prediction_verbatim": "US 10-year Treasury yield will remain above 4.40% over next 48 hours as bond market reprices risk-off on geopolitical fragility (Taiwan warning, Iran impatience) offsetting ceasefire optimism", "created_at": "2026-05-16 02:10:59", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-18 02:11:20", "chain_hash": "8f532d88f7f8deeb6e2f4b765f0ac69e375ad55774be6533f4dc5763a957ec71", "chain_tx": "4fLhDNSvX6BgzJ3dHotJp7fxH9TQBCrzQkFPawHpeUHU28RP3GBumaShER4BfmzwWEHEJb1vXQKooNMS4f3J9ZXe", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}