The call ▼ DOWN
Russell 2000 (IWM) closes lower on May 21 relative to May 14 close
Made 2026-05-15 17:40 · graded in public
Right · score 100%
directionDOWN
confidence62%
falsifies if
resolves48h before earnings (May 21)
grade100%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
IWMvs
Correct — IWM closed at $277.62, down 2.4% from May 14 baseline. Prediction stated 'Russell 2000 closes lower on May 21 relative to May 14 close' and this was fulfilled. The directional call was accurate.