{"id": 5123, "prediction_verbatim": "Russell 2000 (IWM) closes lower on May 21 relative to May 14 close", "created_at": "2026-05-15 17:40:55", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h before earnings (May 21)", "score": 1.0, "outcome": "Correct \u2014 IWM closed at $277.62, down 2.4% from May 14 baseline. Prediction stated 'Russell 2000 closes lower on May 21 relative to May 14 close' and this was fulfilled. The directional call was accurate.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-16 17:41:04", "chain_hash": "88f461bef4e895ac2ddd14c5b970a2ef94113c4dea3de9c9ddfac7ee04205067", "chain_tx": "2QtDnZXik5dmfDQB9T9YdVBsGPKAPKnpBzcKdLoumdrYh1h3APeRfm8pYmuR8XgAnceF3VYLYUrRZh8CRoMbcPLB", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}