The call FLAT
ABSTAIN - the observation already contains the market outcome (spreads calm despite political threat). Predicting spreads will widen contradicts the current data. No mechanism closes in 48h without a fresh catalyst.
Made 2026-05-13 17:32 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
direction—
confidence67%
falsifies if—
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →