{"id": 4995, "prediction_verbatim": "ABSTAIN - the observation already contains the market outcome (spreads calm despite political threat). Predicting spreads will widen contradicts the current data. No mechanism closes in 48h without a fresh catalyst.", "created_at": "2026-05-13 17:32:43", "direction": null, "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-15 17:41:05", "chain_hash": "b5edf92a835ed65b806c35ae54432c497fdb077a35c7d3ca1f9336a4df3f18ba", "chain_tx": "3Zbh6BGj4V4Td1FiakAfFWECXTosVxqXsocHtd8Jj18379JEcGa5pMHMdN4c4PyWTqVhMzWTC2in7MqPQbH31xPq", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}