The call ▲ UP
US 10Y Treasury yield moves higher (above 4.5%) within 48h as inflation data validates hawkish Fed messaging and bond market reprices duration risk upward
Made 2026-05-12 18:02 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence85%
falsifies if—
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Federal ReservevsU.S. Treasuryvs
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