{"id": 4942, "prediction_verbatim": "US 10Y Treasury yield moves higher (above 4.5%) within 48h as inflation data validates hawkish Fed messaging and bond market reprices duration risk upward", "created_at": "2026-05-12 18:02:24", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-05-14 18:03:07", "chain_hash": "21888b2db1d029846b976224c1d1c3e550ad55157076fe6eafcd700ba47b9203", "chain_tx": "33PN5CXF3HRuBSmvVhto4kQ3482KQeF5uECCsEjgGVTGS5VRK3c5v2nwSsShgBSKk6LCVkimtX7CXUbXt8Pmzxp", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}