The call ▲ UP
TSLA and NVDA will outperform GOOGL and AMZN by cumulative differential of >1.5% within 24h
Made 2026-05-12 00:02 · graded in public
Wrong · score 10%
directionUP
confidence78%
falsifies if—
resolves24h
grade10%
AMZNprimaryNVDAvsGOOGLvsTSLAvs
FAILED — Prediction required TSLA > NVDA + GOOGL > AMZN with >1.5% cumulative differential within 24h. Actual: TSLA -2.6%, NVDA +0.6%, GOOGL -0.3%, AMZN -1.2%. TSLA massively underperformed (down 2.6% vs initial thesis of +3.89%); NVDA barely moved (+0.6%). Differential is negative, not positive. Thesis data appears to be from intraday spike that reversed completely. Wrong direction and magnitude.