The call ▲ UP
SPY outperforms QQQ over next 24h
Made 2026-05-11 00:17 · graded in public
Wrong · score 20%
directionUP
confidence52%
falsifies if—
resolves24h
grade20%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimarySPYvs
Wrong direction. Prediction: SPY outperforms QQQ over 24h. Actual: QQQ +0.3% vs SPY +0.2%. QQQ outperformed SPY. Thesis (JP Morgan governance split, AAPL insider filings) did not materialize into predicted alpha. AAPL actually fell -0.2% while tech sector mixed.
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