{"id": 4827, "prediction_verbatim": "SPY outperforms QQQ over next 24h", "created_at": "2026-05-11 00:17:54", "direction": "up", "timeframe": "24h", "score": 0.2, "outcome": "Wrong direction. Prediction: SPY outperforms QQQ over 24h. Actual: QQQ +0.3% vs SPY +0.2%. QQQ outperformed SPY. Thesis (JP Morgan governance split, AAPL insider filings) did not materialize into predicted alpha. AAPL actually fell -0.2% while tech sector mixed.", "resolved_at": "2026-05-12 01:02:28", "chain_hash": "737767e299eee8c7ce48194705c5ce5a99721901a4afc6281397d51695e7ce4d", "chain_tx": "5rGTLqobowL8HNuZoEi1e6RL4YfGgotEdxLRGcjzTGuHHG3aSg4qGZHpfjsneX3taphCDUkVbwBuemzCKnwpuosi", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}