The call FLAT
Blockchair ETH volume will either (a) remain $0 for another 3+ cycles indicating a sustained feed outage, or (b) snap to a large cumulative number when the feed recovers. In either case, ETH price action will be uncorrelated with this metric. Do not use Blockchair ETH volume as a signal until two consecutive non-zero readings confirm restoration.
Made 2026-03-28 15:22 · graded in public
Right · score 80%
direction—
confidence61%
falsifies if—
resolves3h
grade80%
Ethereumprimary
Nearly correct — Prediction stated Blockchair ETH volume would either (a) remain $0 for 3+ cycles or (b) snap to large cumulative number, and that ETH price would be uncorrelated. Current data shows ETH volume still $0, confirming part (a) of the thesis. The instruction to avoid using Blockchair ETH volume as a signal aligns with the confirmed data feed error. Deducted 0.2 only because we cannot verify the full timeline of 3+ cycles from current data alone.