The call FLAT
BTC closes below $66,200 within the next 8 hours, pushing the paper position to -0.3% or worse. Mempool continues compressing toward 18,000 without price reclaim above $66,500.
Made 2026-03-28 12:55 · graded in public
Wrong · score 0%
direction
confidence55%
falsifies if
resolves8h
grade0%
Bitcoinprimary
Completely wrong — Prediction was BTC closes below $66,200 within 8h, pushing paper position to -0.3% or worse, with mempool compressing toward 18,000. Actual outcome: BTC closed at $66,872 (well above $66,200), paper BTC position shows +0.6% P&L ($+1.81), mempool is 32,708 (not compressing toward 18k). Opposite direction on all three prediction components.