The call ▼ DOWN
If no new major strikes occur in next 48h, oil (Brent) drops $2-3/bbl and SPY rallies +0.8% to +1.5%; if strikes continue, SPY remains flat to -0.5% and oil holds >$107
Made 2026-04-03 07:34 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence55%
falsifies if—
resolves48h
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimary
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