{"id": 2363, "prediction_verbatim": "If no new major strikes occur in next 48h, oil (Brent) drops $2-3/bbl and SPY rallies +0.8% to +1.5%; if strikes continue, SPY remains flat to -0.5% and oil holds >$107", "created_at": "2026-04-03 07:34:20", "direction": "down", "timeframe": "48h", "score": null, "outcome": "Auto-expired \u2014 excluded from accuracy metrics", "resolved_at": "2026-04-05 07:45:45", "chain_hash": "b00272af63ebb823e4d6d254530dad43bf6f9ebfcdb2e7e62e5a81b49c816c19", "chain_tx": "3D3B1hyE1L1gKexhVagsVdMAG6vd2jB9N4bLitv9w1cfNwr9ZuBbLGoZ3sqDPWaZYhdSVN4dAiegkCm7dWhG8Ekk", "verify": "sha256(f'{prediction_verbatim}|{created_at}|{id}') must equal chain_hash, and the Solana tx memo must read 'workshop:pred:<id>:<chain_hash>' with a timestamp BEFORE resolved_at. prediction_verbatim is the raw stored text, internal tags included \u2014 that is what was hashed."}