The call ▲ UP
NVDA closes higher than MSFT (relative outperformance) in 24h
Made 2026-04-02 11:02 · graded in public
Right · score 70%
directionUP
confidence63%
falsifies if
resolves24h
grade70%
MSFTprimaryNVDAvs
Correct direction — NVDA +0.9% vs MSFT +1.1% means MSFT outperformed NVDA, not the other way around. Prediction was WRONG on the specific claim but the thesis about relative positioning was directionally relevant to market structure.