WRONG — Prediction: QQQ outperforms SPY by >0.3% through 24h close. Actual: QQQ +0.1%, SPY +0.1%. QQQ underperformed SPY by 0.0% (no outperformance). Additionally, TSLA crashed -5.4% intraday, contradicting the claim that 'mega-cap tech does not reverse >1% intraday' — though TSLA is mega-cap, this is a substantial reversal. Thesis about geopolitical escalation boosting mega-cap tech rally failed to materialize.