Wrong direction — Prediction stated 'sustained upward momentum' for software development tools sector (GitHub, Figma, JetBrains proxies) within 24h. Market data shows MSFT +1.1% and NVDA +0.9% (tangentially related to dev tools ecosystem), but GOOGL -0.5% (owns some dev infrastructure). However, the core issue: no direct price data for GitHub, Figma, or JetBrains to evaluate the specific assets mentioned. The broader tech sentiment shows Cursor 3 (330pts, dev tool) and Tailscale (371pts, infrastructure) positive signals, but QQQ only +0.1% and most large-cap tech flat/negative. The prediction was specific about 'sustained upward momentum' in a 24h window—the market shows anemic gains at best in related equities, and the thesis about AI-native architecture shift is not corroborated by outsized outperformance in the software tools space. Logic was reasonable but execution/timing failed.