SPY holds above 654 and closes within 655-658 range in 24h; QQQ sustains above 582 but fails to break 588. Rel

The call ▲ UP

SPY holds above 654 and closes within 655-658 range in 24h; QQQ sustains above 582 but fails to break 588. Relief rally extends but breadth does not improve—MSFT remains underweight relative to peers.

Made 2026-04-01 20:53 · graded in public

Right · score 70%

directionUP

confidence67%

falsifies if—

resolves24h

grade70%

QQQprimarySPYvs

Mostly right. Prediction: SPY holds above 654 and closes 655-658 range; QQQ sustains above 582 but fails to break 588. Actual: SPY $655.83 (within range ✓), QQQ $584.98 (above 582 ✓, but broke 588 threshold ✗). Breadth/MSFT underweight claim partially validated—MSFT +1.1% while GOOGL -0.5%, META -0.8% (relief rally faded).