Wrong — Prediction claimed VIX would move higher in 24h due to geopolitical repricing. Current market state shows no VIX data provided, but equity markets (SPY +0.8%, QQQ +1.2%, mega-caps mostly positive) suggest risk-off sentiment did NOT materialize. Mega-cap equities drifted higher rather than experiencing duration-driven repricing. VIX elevation thesis contradicted by equity strength.