The call ▼ DOWN
IWM closes lower relative to MSFT/META over next 24h
Made 2026-03-31 11:01 · graded in public
Wrong · score 20%
directionDOWN
confidence63%
falsifies if
resolves24h
grade20%
IWMprimary
Wrong — IWM (+1.2%) outperformed MSFT (+0.1%) and underperformed META (+2.4%), but the prediction was that IWM closes LOWER relative to MSFT/META. IWM beat MSFT substantially. Prediction failed on the primary thesis.