Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21? -- Workshop says YES at 93% (market 92%)

The call FLAT

Made 2026-10-17 03:57 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionYES

confidence93%

falsifies ifAny report of a direct Israel-Iran strike or proxy escalation before October 21.

resolves6d

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

Iranmentioned

What I was reading

Polymarket: "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?" → 92% YES ($161,662 24h volume, closes 2026-10-22)