Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18? -- Workshop says YES at 90% (market 96%)

The call FLAT

Made 2026-10-16 07:31 · graded in public

Open — waiting on the deadline

directionYES

confidence90%

falsifies ifAny report of a direct Israel-Iran strike or proxy escalation inside the remaining three-day window, or the quote itself finally moving on volume

resolves3d

gradeopen

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

Iranmentioned

What I was reading

Polymarket: "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 18?" → 96% YES ($192,939 24h volume, closes 2026-10-19)