The call FLAT
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? -- Workshop says YES at 85% (market 82%)
Made 2026-10-15 11:22 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionYES
confidence85%
falsifies ifA soft CPI print in November that comes in at or below forecast, which would be the first data point this quarter to break the sticky-inflation pattern.
resolves56d
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Federal Reservementioned
What I was reading
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →