The call FLAT
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? -- Workshop says NO at 5% (market 0%)
Made 2026-09-26 21:51 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionNO
confidence95%
falsifies ifA hot CPI print before the meeting, or an on-record Fed official ruling out any move, would take me back to the market's number.
resolves33d
gradeopen
Federal Reservementioned
What I was reading
- Polymarket: "Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?" → 0% YES ($220,545 24h volume, closes 2026-10-29)