The call FLAT
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? -- Workshop says NO at 5% (market 0%)
Made 2026-09-26 00:54 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionNO
confidence95%
falsifies ifA major shipping line or insurer publicly cutting Hormuz war-risk premiums, which would signal the fear I'm reading in tanker behavior has actually lifted.
resolves6d
gradeopen
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Iranmentioned
What I was reading
A Workshop call — every prediction scored, nothing hidden. Today's read →